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Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Rennes

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Rennes

Diallo (4'), Ajorque (77')
Caci (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Terrier (54')
Martin (65'), Aguerd (90')

Preview: Strasbourg vs. Rennes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

On Wednesday, fifth-placed Strasbourg will bid to extend their current unbeaten run to 11 matches when they play host to Rennes, who sit in third position.

The visitors, meanwhile, will be looking for a positive response after a 3-2 defeat to Monaco ended an impressive run of form, which saw Rennes go seven Ligue 1 games without defeat.


Match preview

Strasbourg's Habib Diallo celebrates with teammates on December 5, 2021© Reuters

Since returning to Ligue 1 in 2017, Strasbourg have finished no higher than 11th, so not many pundits would have predicted that with six games to go in the current campaign that they would be firmly in the battle for the European places.

Currently sat in fifth place, Le Racing are three points adrift of Wednesday's opponents, who currently occupy the third and final Champions League qualification spot.

Although they may be looking up, Wednesday's hosts also have to be mindful of those chasing from behind with sixth-placed Monaco level on points with Le Racing ahead of the midweek fixtures.

Strasbourg are currently enjoying a 10-game unbeaten run, but six draws in that period have potentially prevented them from already occupying a top-three spot, with their last two matches ending in 1-1 draws.

Julien Stephan's side were five minutes away from claiming three points against Troyes at the weekend after Habib Diallo had given his team the lead from the spot, but another penalty late on saw Florian Tardieu level the encounter to frustrate Strasbourg, with six of their last eight matches finishing all square.

Rennes' Benjamin Bourigeaud celebrates scoring their first goal with Baptiste Santamaria on March 17, 2022© Reuters

After achieving a sixth-placed finish last season, Rennes would have expected to be among the European places this term, although they may have settled for either a Europa League or Europa Conference League spot.

However, with Bruno Genesio's charges currently sat in third position, they will now be dreaming of featuring in Europe's elite competition next season.

Rennes may also be eyeing second spot, with Marseille just three points ahead of Les Rennais, although like their hosts, they must also be wary of the chasing pack.

On Friday, Rennes fell short in a five-goal thriller against Monaco despite taking the lead through Flavien Tait, as Philippe Clement's side roared in front thanks to goals from Vanderson, Wissam Ben Yedder and Myron Boadu and although Martin Terrier reduced the deficit in stoppage time, it was all too little too late.

Although they lost out to Monaco, the second-highest scorers in Ligue 1 will believe that they can pick up all three points on Wednesday after winning three of their last four away league games.

Strasbourg Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D

Rennes Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Rennes form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Strasbourg players celebrate after the match against Nice on December 5, 2021© Reuters

Injury issues will prevent the trio of Ismael Doukoure, Nordine Kandil and Majeed Waris from participating for the hosts in the midweek fixture.

Despite scoring from the spot against Troyes, Diallo may drop down to the bench, with Ludovic Ajorque - who has scored 11 league goals this season - likely to partner Kevin Gameiro in the frontline.

Stephan could also bring Jean-Ricner Bellegarde back into the starting lineup, which would result in Habib Diarra dropping out of the side.

As for the visitors, they have a number of injury absentees, with Loic Bade, Jeremy Doku, Kamaldeen Sulemana and Alfred Gomis all unavailable for Wednesday's contest.

Nayef Aguerd missed Friday's encounter due to illness and the Morocco international remains a doubt for the trip to Stade de la Meinau.

Terrier will continue to operate on the left flank for Rennes and the 25-year-old will be looking to continue his impressive form after scoring in each of his last four matches.

Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Sels; Perrin, Djiku, Nyamsi; Caci, Aholou, Bellegarde, Sissoko, Lienard; Gamiero, Ajorque

Rennes possible starting lineup:
Alemdar; Traore, Santamaria, Omari, Truffert; Tait, Martin; Bourigeaud, Majer, Terrier; Laborde


SM words green background

We say: Strasbourg 2-2 Rennes

Strasbourg have struggled to convert draws into victories in recent weeks, and with the two sides separated by just three points in the Ligue 1 table, we think that Le Racing could see their midweek encounter with Rennes also end all square.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:483673:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10597:
Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Rennes

Strasbourg
34.3%
Draw
41.8%
Rennes
23.9%
67
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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