Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.