Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Brescia1 - 2Bari
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Bari.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Modena
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Bari |
31.14% ( 0.03) | 29.13% ( 0.03) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.88% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
