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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Sassuolo logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 0
Sassuolo

Swiderski (79')
Dawidowicz (51'), Cabal (81'), Serdar (82'), Coppola (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Henrique (47'), Castillejo (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli
Wednesday, February 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Sassuolo

Only two of 17 previous Serie A meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw: as Verona are much harder to beat at the Bentegodi than away from home, they can prolong that trend and pull three points clear of ailing Sassuolo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hellas Verona.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSassuolo
41.37% (-0.526 -0.53) 25.95% (0.183 0.18) 32.68% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.47900000000001 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.673 -0.67)50.53% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.598 -0.6)72.45% (0.601 0.6)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (-0.559 -0.56)24.17% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (-0.803 -0.8)58.49% (0.805 0.81)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (-0.105 -0.11)29.15% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)65.08% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 41.36%
    Sassuolo 32.68%
    Draw 25.95%
Hellas VeronaDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 10% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Sassuolo

Hellas Verona
57.1%
Draw
20.0%
Sassuolo
22.9%
70
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sassuolo
3-1
Hellas Verona
Pinamonti (11'), Berardi (63', 73' pen.)
Boloca (29')
Ngonge (56')
Coppola (42'), Magnani (45+5'), Baroni (45'), Doig (71')
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hellas Verona
2-1
Sassuolo
Ceccherini (84'), Gaich (90+5')
Harroui (34')
Oct 24, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 16, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 22
Sassuolo
2-4
Hellas Verona
Scamacca (54'), Defrel (67')
Kiriakopoulos (59'), Marco Ferrari (85')
Caprari (37'), Barak (44', 57', 90+4')
Depaoli (61'), Ceccherini (65'), Montipo (89'), Kalinic (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hellas Verona
2-3
Sassuolo
Zaccagni (71' pen., 90')
Veloso (35'), Di Carmine (75')
Veloso (45+1')
Raspadori (32'), Duricic (51'), Traore (77')
Lopez (23'), Duricic (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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