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Monza
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Venezia
Venezia
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 2
Como

Pohjanpalo (16'), Oristanio (69')
Nicolussi (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Candela (49' og.), Belotti (56')
Fabregas i Soler (51'), Sala (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Venezia
Saturday, November 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Monza
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Venezia 1-1 Como

Only Lecce have a lower shot-conversion rate than Venezia (7%) and Como (6.9%) in Serie A this season, so goals may be at a premium. Neither side can keep the back door shut, though, so a low-scoring draw may be the final outcome in this relegation scrap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Como had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawComo
37.68% (0.495 0.49) 26.71% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 35.61% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (-0.404 -0.4)53.22% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (-0.343 -0.34)74.78% (0.345 0.34)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.094000000000008 0.09)27.4% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (0.121 0.12)62.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.54899999999999 -0.55)28.63% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (-0.69 -0.69)64.43% (0.691 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 37.67%
    Como 35.61%
    Draw 26.71%
VeneziaDrawComo
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Venezia vs Como

Venezia
43.3%
Draw
32.8%
Como
23.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Como
2-1
Venezia
Verdi (38'), Cutrone (90')
Verdi (49')
Pohjanpalo (40')
Candela (75'), Sverko (88')
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Venezia
3-0
Como
Pierini (19', 32'), Pohjanpalo (54')
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 31
Venezia
3-2
Como
Candela (45'), Milanese (48'), Pohjanpalo (50')
Da Cunha (8'), Gabrielloni (90')
Nov 6, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Como
1-0
Venezia
Bellemo (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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