Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
72.75% | 15.62% | 11.63% |
Both teams to score 57.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70% | 30% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.8% | 51.2% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.85% | 7.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.98% | 26.02% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% | 37.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.61% | 74.39% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 3.94% 5-0 @ 2.87% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.6% 5-2 @ 1.37% 6-0 @ 1.26% 6-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.06% Total : 72.75% | 1-1 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 2.69% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.62% | 1-2 @ 3.39% 0-1 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-2 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.76% Total : 11.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |