Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
28.93% | 24.62% | 46.44% |
Both teams to score 56.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% | 46.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% | 68.66% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% | 20.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% | 52.27% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |