Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
75.19% | 14.7% | 10.12% |
Both teams to score 55.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.06% | 29.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.87% | 51.13% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.33% | 6.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.26% | 24.74% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.82% | 40.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.19% | 76.81% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 6% 4-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 3.69% 5-0 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 2.5% 6-0 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 1.35% 6-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 4.14% Total : 75.19% | 1-1 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.09% 0-0 @ 2.68% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.7% | 1-2 @ 3.02% 0-1 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.38% Total : 10.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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