Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
65.78% ( -0.01) | 18.94% ( 0.01) | 15.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.53% ( -0.02) | 37.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.3% ( -0.02) | 59.7% ( 0.02) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.36% ( -0.01) | 10.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.53% ( -0.02) | 34.47% ( 0.01) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% ( -0) | 37.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% ( -0) | 74.17% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.72% Total : 65.78% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.94% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |