Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Dundee win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Celtic |
8.73% ( -0.11) | 13.3% ( -0.03) | 77.97% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.67% ( -0.26) | 27.33% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.1% ( -0.33) | 47.9% ( 0.33) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.08% ( -0.43) | 40.92% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% ( -0.39) | 77.48% ( 0.39) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.38% ( -0.03) | 5.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.21% ( -0.08) | 21.79% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 8.73% | 1-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 13.3% | 0-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 5.11% Total : 77.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |