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Celtic logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Motherwell logo

Dundee
2 - 3
Motherwell

McGhee (36'), McCowan (70')
Bakayoko (74'), Mellon (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gent (79'), Bair (81'), Ebiye (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 2-1 Motherwell

There is not much to split these two teams in the league table, and that in itself should lead to a close match as neither will want to slip up. However, it could be the end of the line as far as Motherwell's top-half hopes are concerned, as Dundee should have enough quality to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawMotherwell
46.81% (-0.166 -0.17) 23.66% (-0.147 -0.15) 29.54% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 60% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.868 0.87)41.65% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.869 0.87)64.05% (-0.867 -0.87)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.27500000000001 0.28)18.03% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.466 0.47)48.91% (-0.463 -0.46)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.64700000000001 0.65)26.81% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.843 0.84)62.1% (-0.84 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 46.81%
    Motherwell 29.54%
    Draw 23.65%
DundeeDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 46.81%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.54%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Motherwell
3-3
Dundee
Biereth (6'), Mugabi (68'), Wilkinson (90+7')
Butcher (44'), Casey (49'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Paton (72')
Cameron (30'), Beck (34'), Robinson (88')
Boateng (80'), McCowan (90+7')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dundee
1-1
Motherwell
Cameron (68')
Bair (45')
Souare (72'), McGinley (79')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
1-1
Dundee
Efford (18')
McMullan (6')
Daley-Campbell (53'), Byrne (83')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dundee
3-0
Motherwell
McCowan (19'), Mullen (26'), Sweeney (49')
Mullen (45'), Sweeney (59'), Fontaine (76')

Slattery (10'), Mugabi (58'), Roberts (81')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
1-0
Dundee
Watt (34')
van Veen (73'), Kelly (80')
Carroll (79')

McGowan (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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