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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Mirren logo

Motherwell
1 - 1
St Mirren

Bair (74')
Vale (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (18')
Olusanya (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-1 St Mirren

With both teams losing before the international break, confidence will not necessarily be that high. However, with St Mirren conceding five at Kilmarnock, Motherwell will hold the greater belief of posting three points, leading us to back a narrow win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
40.44% (0.144 0.14) 25.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.86% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)24.01% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.104 0.1)58.27% (-0.11 -0.11)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)27.71% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.117 -0.12)63.27% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 40.44%
    St Mirren 33.86%
    Draw 25.69%
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.44%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.86%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
0-0
Motherwell
Baccus (73')
Spittal (40')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Motherwell
0-1
St Mirren
Tanser (55')
Fraser (20'), Taylor (43'), Baccus (63'), Strain (65'), Hemming (82')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Second Round
St Mirren
1-0
Motherwell
Boyd-Munce (9')
Mandron (80'), Dunne (90+3')

O'Donnell (53'), Mugabi (89'), McGinn (90+3')
Feb 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
2-1
St Mirren
Van Veen (8'), Johnston (18')
Strain (24')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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