Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
40.44% ( 0.14) | 25.69% ( -0.01) | 33.86% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.87% ( -0.01) | 49.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.8% ( -0) | 71.19% ( -0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.07) | 24.01% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.72% ( 0.1) | 58.27% ( -0.11) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( -0.09) | 27.71% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( -0.12) | 63.27% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |