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Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Dundee logo

Motherwell
1 - 1
Dundee

Efford (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McMullan (6')
Daley-Campbell (53'), Byrne (83')

Preview: Motherwell vs. Dundee - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Motherwell shall be looking to end their run of nine games without a victory in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday when they welcome Dundee to Fir Park.

The Dark Blues were held to a goalless draw in midweek, and the club are running out of fixtures in order to fight for their survival, as they remain bottom of the league.


Match preview

Celtic's Liel Abada in action with Motherwell's Nathan McGinley on February 6, 2022© Reuters

Motherwell have been in difficult form as of late, having failed to pick up three points across their last nine outings, with the December 26 victory against Livingston being the last time they won a game.

The Steelmen were left empty-handed on Wednesday, despite the fact they dominated the fixture with 71% of the possession, having 17 shots on goal, but ultimately it was Ross County who won 1-0 due to a penalty from Joseph Hungbo.

The performances as of late have led to the club slipping down into the bottom six, as they currently find themselves seventh-placed, and that could drop down to ninth with a defeat on Saturday, depending on other results.

Graham Alexander will be demanding more from his players this weekend, especially since they are welcoming Dundee, who have the worst away record in the division.

However, he shall recall the previous meeting between the two teams, as it was the Dark Blues who pulled off an upset, winning 3-0, which is something Motherwell cannot afford to happen again.

Dundee's Zeno Rossi in action on February 20, 2022© Reuters

Dundee will be desperate to mirror that result on Saturday as they find themselves 10 points adrift of safety, although they do have one game in hand on the teams above them.

Mark McGhee's men were able to avoid losing on Wednesday, battling out a goalless draw against Hibernian, which is something the squad will take confidence from heading into the weekend.

The Dark Blues have gone three matches in a row without a victory now, which is form that they will want to overcome immediately as the final run for the season takes place.

Dundee could overtake St Johnstone with a victory, depending on the result that the Saints pick up this weekend, and that would help aid battle for safety.

The club have been putting together some impressive performances overall, having only lost three times in their previous eight matches across all competitions, proving they are not going down without a fight.

Motherwell Scottish Premiership form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Motherwell form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L

Dundee Scottish Premiership form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Dundee form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Graham Alexander, now in charge of Motherwell, pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Barry Maguire was once again missing for Motherwell in midweek, as the only injury issue that the Steelmen are dealing with right now, and his muscle problem will likely keep him out of action again.

Joe Efford dropped out of the starting lineup in that match, and Kevin van Veen could retain his place up front, with Kaiyne Woolery and Connor Shields being either side of him.

Charlie Adam returned to the Dundee team against Hibernian, bringing his experience to the midfield, and after a clean sheet, the club captain could end up being used again.

Cillian Sheridan is still out of action at the moment, but Jordan Marshall was back in the starting XI for the recent draw, while Lee Ashcroft was able to feature from the bench, providing a boost for the squad.

Motherwell possible starting lineup:
Kelly; O'Donnell, Johansen, Lamie, Carroll; O'Hara, Donnelly, Goss; Woolery, Shields, Van Veen

Dundee possible starting lineup:
Lawlor; Kerr, McGhee, Sweeney, Marshall; McGinn, Adam, Anderson, McMullan; Mullen, McGowan


SM words green background

We say: Motherwell 0-1 Dundee

While Motherwell may technically be the favourites due to their league position, that does not guarantee they will be able to take three points from this match.

Dundee have been fighting and putting together good performances overall, and without the hosts out of form at the moment, this could be a time for them to gain a much-needed win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee

Motherwell
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dundee
40.0%
10
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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