Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 11.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Edinburgh City |
74.1% ( 0.26) | 14.41% ( -0.15) | 11.49% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.03% ( 0.5) | 23.96% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.45% ( 0.66) | 43.55% ( -0.66) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.45% ( 0.15) | 5.55% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.4% ( 0.44) | 21.6% ( -0.44) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.65% ( 0.21) | 33.35% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.03% ( 0.24) | 69.97% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 6-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 74.1% | 1-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 14.41% | 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 11.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |