Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.