Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
40.16% ( -0.45) | 25.6% ( -0.06) | 34.24% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.34% ( 0.37) | 48.66% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.22% ( 0.33) | 70.77% ( -0.34) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( -0.07) | 23.95% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( -0.1) | 58.18% ( 0.09) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( 0.48) | 27.26% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.31% ( 0.63) | 62.69% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 34.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |