Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
