Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Osijek.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Rijeka
Sunday, May 19 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, May 19 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
66
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Osijek |
24.63% ( -0.1) | 23.58% ( -0.03) | 51.79% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
