Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
64.13% | 21.52% | 14.35% |
Both teams to score 45.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% | 15.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% | 43.75% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.13% | 46.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.61% | 82.39% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 64.12% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 0.97% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.19% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
14 | AVS | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
17 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 12 |
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