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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Everton
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Gray (88')
Gordon (21'), Iwobi (35'), Onana (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Johnson (81')
Worrall (20'), Williams (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Everton
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Everton 1-1 Nottingham Forest

Forest head into the fixture as the favourites with many people, and it is difficult to dispute that given the level of their new arrivals and Everton finding themselves under growing pressure. However, the Toffees usually find a way of rising to the occasion at Goodison Park, and we are backing them to claim a late share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
EvertonDrawNottingham Forest
46.8% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 28.01% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 25.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.59% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)61.48% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65% (-0.055 -0.05)81.35% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)26.38% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)61.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.21% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)40.78% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)77.36% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Everton 46.8%
    Nottingham Forest 25.19%
    Draw 27.99%
EvertonDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 14.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 10.75% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 25.19%

How you voted: Everton vs Nott'm Forest

Everton
44.9%
Draw
24.3%
Nottingham Forest
30.7%
267
Head to Head
Sep 8, 1998 3pm
Feb 1, 1997 3pm
Oct 28, 1996 3pm
Feb 24, 1996 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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