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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Burnley

Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-1 Burnley

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Brentford Community Stadium, though both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. Burnley are unbeaten in their last three away games, including two in London against Arsenal and Crystal Palace, and we can see them securing at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
46.85%26.96%26.2%
Both teams to score 47.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44%37.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.34%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 46.85%
    Burnley 26.2%
    Draw 26.96%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley

Brentford
44.8%
Draw
25.7%
Burnley
29.5%
183
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
Brentford
1-3
Burnley
Judge (57')
Arfield (12'), Barton (30'), Boyd (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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