Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Fulham Under-23s had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Fulham Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.