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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 4
Dungannon

Place (27'), Taylor (54')
McMurray (62')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Curry (14'), Gallagher (40'), Glenny (45+1', 88')
Scott (31'), McGinty (52'), Glenny (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 5-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
34.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 40.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)45.71% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)68.03% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.94% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)60.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)22.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)55.68% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 34.08%
    Dungannon Swifts 40.99%
    Draw 24.93%
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.99%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Ballymena
1-1
Dungannon
Westendorf (25')
O'Neill (23'), Boyle (59')
Tennant (51' og.)
Scott (31'), Knowles (81')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dungannon
0-1
Ballymena

Bigirimana (50'), McGee (78')
Stewart (87')
Coates (78'), Whiteside (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Ballymena
2-0
Dungannon
Gibson (87'), Nelson (90+4')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ballymena
2-0
Dungannon
McGrory (52' pen.), McDaid (90+5')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Dungannon
1-1
Ballymena
O'Connor (29')
McDaid (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013


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