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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 0
Carrick

Parkhouse (6'), Surgenor (8' og.), Millar (25')
Strain (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

Last Six:
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portadown 0-5 Carrick
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
57.93%22.52%19.54%
Both teams to score 52.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68%46.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4%68.6%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3%15.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23%44.77%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28%37.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5%74.49%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 57.93%
    Carrick Rangers 19.54%
    Draw 22.52%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-0 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.07%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.93%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.77%
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 19.54%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
3-0
Ballymena
Cushley (40', 65' pen.), Kelly (78')
Gawne (73')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick

Redman (36'), (71'), (80')
Redman (62')
Gibson (70')
Gibson (83'), Gawne (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Ballymena
Gawne (55'), Gibson (90+3')
Nixon (33')
Smith (32')
Loughran (25')
May 4, 2021 7.30pm
Carrick
0-4
Ballymena

Gordon (63')
Hume (45'), McCartan (64' pen., 89'), McCready (90+4')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Ballymena
2-0
Carrick
Gordon (36' og.), McCartan (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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