Reaction
Ian Baraclough admits Northern Ireland suffered from "fear factor" against Austria
The Green and White Army were beaten at home by Austria on Sunday.
Oct 12, 11:10
Ian Baraclough: 'Northern Ireland need to address slow starts'
'We have to find a way of addressing that,' the boss said.
Oct 12, 08:54
Ian Baraclough bemoans unforgiving fixture schedule following Austria defeat
Northern Ireland fell to a 1-0 home defeat just three days after playing 120 minutes in Sarajevo to keep their Euro 2020 hopes alive.
Oct 11, 23:59
The Match
Match Report
Northern Ireland's Nations League woes continued as they lost for the sixth time in seven matches in this competition.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Austria, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 8.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.61%) and 0-3 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Austria |
| 8.6% | 17.9% | 73.5% |
| Both teams to score 37.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
