Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Greece had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Greece win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
