Nations League | League A
Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Belgium0 - 1Italy
The Match
Match Report
Sandro Tonali scores the only goal as Italy reach the UEFA Nations League quarter-finals thanks to a 1-0 win away in Belgium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 1-2 France
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | France | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Italy had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Italy win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Italy |
51.11% ( 1.1) | 24.88% ( -0.19) | 24% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
