Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.