Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
61.64% ( -1.33) | 19.52% ( 0.46) | 18.85% ( 0.87) |
Both teams to score 61.84% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.52% ( -0.76) | 33.48% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.73% ( -0.87) | 55.27% ( 0.86) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.47% ( -0.55) | 10.53% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.77% ( -1.25) | 34.23% ( 1.24) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.42) | 30.89% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.49) | 67.18% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 61.64% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.52% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.53% Total : 18.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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