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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Gateshead

Altrincham
2 - 3
Gateshead

Newby (16'), Mooney (53')
Wilson (32'), Banks (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dinanga (50'), Evans (57'), Adom (73')
Worman (30'), Richardson (81'), Adom (85'), Adom (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Gateshead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-1 Gateshead

There is very little between the two teams in the league table and that should lead to a close and competitive fixture this weekend. Playing at home will provide Altrincham with a slight advantage and that could be the difference maker in this important match in the fight for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
41.13% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.75% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)36.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.16% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.47%
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.012999999999991 0.01)20.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.016999999999996 0.02)53.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 41.13%
    Gateshead 35.75%
    Draw 23.12%
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Gateshead

Altrincham
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Gateshead
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Gateshead
0-2
Altrincham

McBride (23'), Booty (45+2'), Mair (90+3'), Pani (90+6'), Francis (90+3'), Pani (90+6')
Amaluzor (47'), Donawa (90+2')
Amaluzor (26'), Osborne (28')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Gateshead
1-3
Altrincham
Bailey (3')
Conn-Clarke (12'), Dinanga (32'), Malone (70')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Altrincham
2-3
Gateshead
Hancock (30'), Mooney (79')
Langstaff (22', 90+1'), Ward (57')
Ward (44')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Gateshead
2-2
Altrincham
Campbell (47'), Olley (79')
Olley (27'), Ward (35')
Dinanga (83'), Moult (90+5')
Whitehead (40'), Digie (76'), Mullarkey (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet28176557302757
2Forest Green RoversForest Green281511246222456
3York City27166552252754
4Gateshead28147751361549
5Oldham AthleticOldham26129543291445
6Rochdale24133838211742
7AltrinchamAltrincham27119744321242
8Halifax TownHalifax2611963124742
9Solihull MoorsSolihull28125114540541
10Sutton UnitedSutton2811893936341
11Eastleigh2891183736138
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2791173332138
13Yeovil TownYeovil29108113335-238
14Southend UnitedSouthend279993130136
15Tamworth2697103143-1234
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red2688104036432
17Woking28710112939-1031
18Aldershot TownAldershot28612104248-630
19Braintree TownBraintree2886142738-1130
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2875163557-2226
21WealdstoneWealdstone26510113140-925
22Fylde2674153254-2225
23Boston UnitedBoston2647152444-2019
24Ebbsfleet2919192165-4412


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