Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
42.94% ( 3.54) | 24.17% ( -0.98) | 32.88% ( -2.56) |
Both teams to score 59.89% ( 2.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% ( 3.97) | 42.53% ( -3.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.06% ( 3.84) | 64.94% ( -3.84) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( 3.39) | 20% ( -3.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.81% ( 5.18) | 52.18% ( -5.18) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( 0.38) | 25.14% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.15% ( 0.52) | 59.85% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.66) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.94) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -1.21) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.77) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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