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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 33
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Wealdstone

Altrincham
4 - 1
Wealdstone

Newby (36'), Wilson (47'), Banks (59'), Linney (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barker (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Wealdstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 2-1 Wealdstone

Given Altrincham's lack of consistency, Wealdstone will sense an opportunity to cause an upset in the North West. However, we are backing the home side to do what is necessary to collect three points and potentially move into the top six in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawWealdstone
50.23% (0.282 0.28) 22.18% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 27.59% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 63.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.05% (0.143 0.14)35.95% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.96% (0.154 0.15)58.04% (-0.151 -0.15)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.148 0.15)14.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (0.279 0.28)42.77% (-0.276 -0.28)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)25.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)59.94% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 50.23%
    Wealdstone 27.59%
    Draw 22.18%
AltrinchamDrawWealdstone
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Wealdstone

Altrincham
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Wealdstone
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Wealdstone
0-0
Altrincham
Barker (62')
Ross (80')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Wealdstone
4-0
Altrincham
Obiero (17', 29'), Andrews (47'), Dyer (90+5')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Altrincham
4-2
Wealdstone
Kosylo (8', 46'), Marriott (52'), Mooney (56')
Colclough (37'), White (58'), Ferguson (76')
Cooper (71'), Mullarkey (77' og.)
Tavares (53'), Elito (55'), Dyer (67')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Wealdstone
1-0
Altrincham
Elito (90+11' pen.)
Okimo (38'), Charles (74')

Kirby (66'), Kosylo (80'), Pringle (90+9')
Jackson (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379


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