Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.