National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City1 - 2Farnborough
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Farnborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnet 4-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
44.65% ( -0.23) | 25.81% ( 0.24) | 29.54% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% ( -1) | 51.13% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% ( -0.88) | 72.98% ( 0.88) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% ( -0.53) | 22.83% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% ( -0.79) | 56.56% ( 0.79) |
Farnborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( -0.52) | 31.62% ( 0.52) |