National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chelmsford City3 - 2Farnborough Town
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Farnborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Chippenham 2-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
35.61% ( -0.04) | 25.97% ( 0.01) | 38.41% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% ( -0.02) | 50.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% ( -0.02) | 72.08% ( 0.02) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% ( -0.04) | 27.13% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.47% ( -0.05) | 62.52% ( 0.05) |
Farnborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% ( 0.01) | 25.54% ( -0.01) |