National League South | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Thames Road
Concord Rangers1 - 2Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Hampton 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
47
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Concord Rangers | Draw | Chelmsford City |
19.68% ( 0.6) | 22.58% ( -0.27) | 57.73% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 52.52% ( 1.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.6% ( 1.94) | 46.39% ( -1.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% ( 1.79) | 68.67% ( -1.8) |
Concord Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.38% ( 1.77) | 37.62% ( -1.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.6% ( 1.69) | 74.4% ( -1.7) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.2% ( 0.55) | 15.79% ( -0.56) |