Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.