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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Charlotte FC

Nashville
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Charlotte FC

Nashville may be slightly fatigued following their midweek outing in the Champions Cup, and we think they will have to settle for a point in Saturday's home contest, especially after drawing three of their four competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
46.33% (0.72900000000001 0.73) 25.12% (-0.14 -0.14) 28.56% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 54.38% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (0.259 0.26)48.75% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (0.237 0.24)70.86% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.431 0.43)21.07% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.666 0.67)53.88% (-0.667 -0.67)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.298 -0.3)31.11% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.348 -0.35)67.43% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 46.32%
    Charlotte FC 28.56%
    Draw 25.11%
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Nashville vs Charlotte FC

Nashville SC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Charlotte FC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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