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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Atlanta
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Giakoumakis (8')
Araujo (34'), Robinson (45+4'), Giakoumakis (55'), Rossetto (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burke (9'), Duncan (42'), Casseres Jr (45+1'), Reyes (45+6'), Nealis (55'), Harper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 6-1 Atlanta
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New York Red Bulls

 We are expecting Atlanta to respond to the heavy defeat they suffered against Columbus, and the Five Stripes are still unbeaten on home soil, so we think that they will have enough to edge this contest. On the contrary, New York are yet to win on their travels, and despite the defeat last week, Atlanta have started the season in an impressive manner.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.94% (-2.368 -2.37) 23.43% (0.732 0.73) 23.63% (1.641 1.64)
Both teams to score 55.34% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-1.42 -1.42)45.36% (1.426 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-1.376 -1.38)67.69% (1.379 1.38)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-1.341 -1.34)17.1% (1.345 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-2.428 -2.43)47.3% (2.433 2.43)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (0.68899999999999 0.69)33.24% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.748 0.75)69.86% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.94%
    New York Red Bulls 23.63%
    Draw 23.43%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.27 -0.27)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.293 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.339 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.318 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 23.63%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY Red Bulls

Atlanta United
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
New York Red Bulls
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Martinez (90+5')
Gutman (80')
Morgan (11'), Tolkin (15')
Duncan (45+4'), Klimala (66'), Coronel (87')
Jul 1, 2022 1am
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Atlanta
Morgan (83' pen.), Ngoma (89')
Casseres Jr (28'), Long (42'), Edwards (51')
Martinez (75')
Sejdic (22'), Ibarra (45+3'), Rios Novo (82')
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Atlanta

Klimala (52'), Nealis (90+1')

Araujo (11'), Walkes (90+1')
Jun 27, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
NY Red Bulls

Sosa (65'), Franco (90+5')

Edwards (22'), Davis (69'), Tolkin (85'), Tarek (86')
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
Atlanta
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Hyndman (90+5')
Clark (48')
Davis (52')
rhs 2.0
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