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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Portland Timbers

Atlanta
5 - 1
Portland

Wiley (25'), Almada (45+5', 86'), Giakoumakis (59'), Araujo (75')
Sosa (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ikoba (83')
Mabiala (45+3'), Bravo (61'), Williamson (67'), McGraw (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Atlanta
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Portland Timbers

 Atlanta have been poor on home turf of late, but their recent form should give them cause for optimism heading into this weekend's game. We anticipate an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly coming out on top in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
59.07% (-2.432 -2.43) 21.1% (0.731 0.73) 19.83% (1.701 1.7)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.706 -0.71)39.52% (0.707 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.13% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)61.87% (0.739 0.74)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.92 -0.92)13.08% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-1.902 -1.9)39.69% (1.903 1.9)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (1.359 1.36)33.49% (-1.36 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.457 1.46)70.13% (-1.458 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 59.07%
    Portland Timbers 19.83%
    Draw 21.1%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.344 -0.34)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.1%
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.37 0.37)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.325 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Portland

Atlanta United
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Portland Timbers
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 10.30pm
Portland
2-1
Atlanta
Moreno (38' pen.), Asprilla (82' pen.)
Asprilla (78')
Martinez (88')
Apr 19, 2020 11.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Portland
Aug 19, 2019 3am
Portland
0-2
Atlanta

Moreira (42')
Gonzalez (14'), Martinez (46')
Larentowicz (24'), Pogba (33'), Barco (45')
Dec 9, 2018 1am
Final
Atlanta
2-0
Portland
Martinez (39'), Escobar (54')
McCann (94')

Chara (80')
Jun 24, 2018 9.30pm
Atlanta
1-1
Portland
Gressel (56')
Escobar (32')
Mabiala (32')
Chara (24'), Mabiala (44')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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