Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
30.88% ( 0.89) | 26.27% ( 0.43) | 42.84% ( -1.32) |
Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.55% ( -1.38) | 52.44% ( 1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.88% ( -1.2) | 74.12% ( 1.2) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( -0.08) | 31.33% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.3% ( -0.09) | 67.69% ( 0.09) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% ( -1.25) | 24.28% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% ( -1.8) | 58.64% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |