Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.