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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
40.78% (![]() | 26.03% (![]() | 33.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% (![]() | 50.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% (![]() | 72.62% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% (![]() | 59.04% (![]() |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% (![]() | 28.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.2% (![]() | 64.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 9.97% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.37% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Heidenheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | St Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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