Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.