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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
38.67% (![]() | 23.89% (![]() | 37.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% (![]() | 40.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% (![]() | 62.7% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.97% (![]() | 21.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% (![]() | 53.81% (![]() |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% | 21.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.25% (![]() | 54.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 8.47% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 8.31% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
2 | Notts County | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Newport CountyNewport | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Chesterfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
10 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Port Vale | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
14 | MK Dons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
19 | Salford City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 2 |
24 | Morecambe | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> League Two Full Table |