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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town

Notts County
4 - 1
Grimsby Town

Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Notts County 2-1 Grimsby Town

Everything points to this contest being decided by the odd goal in what should be a competitive fixture. While both teams have momentum, we are backing the home side to come through with maximum points, potentially finishing strong like they did against Fleetwood. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
38.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 23.89% (0.0039999999999978 0) 37.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)62.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)53.81% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.67%
    Grimsby Town 37.44%
    Draw 23.88%
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Notts County vs Grimsby Town

Notts County
59.2%
Draw
14.1%
Grimsby Town
26.8%
71
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
5-5
Notts County
Rose (7' pen.), Eisa (15', 62'), Clifton (52'), Wood (90+5')
Clifton (87')
McGoldrick (39', 90+2'), Langstaff (45'), Nemane (60', 79')
Baldwin (23'), Robertson (45+4'), Jones (84')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Notts County
3-2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
0-1
Notts County

Hunt (86')
Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (45'), Roberts (54'), Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster5401106412
2Notts County5320104611
3BarrowBarrow531172510
4Gillingham531162410
5Bradford CityBradford531185310
6Walsall53027349
7AFC Wimbledon43016429
8Newport CountyNewport530210919
9Chesterfield52219458
10Tranmere RoversTranmere42203128
11Bromley52127617
12Port Vale52128807
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe521237-47
14MK Dons52035506
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham520378-16
16Grimsby Town5203710-36
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood41213305
18Colchester UnitedColchester512267-15
19Salford City412123-15
20Harrogate TownHarrogate511347-34
21Swindon TownSwindon503238-53
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle5104411-73
23Accrington StanleyAccrington5023613-72
24Morecambe500505-50


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