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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Colchester United

Notts County
1 - 0
Colchester

Langstaff (54')
Jones (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mingi (53'), Read (90+4'), Chilvers (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-5 Stockport
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.68%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
38.51% (0.232 0.23) 21.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40.23% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 72.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.74% (0.02 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08)15.22% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)43.87% (-0.153 -0.15)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)14.57% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (-0.186 -0.19)42.63% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.51%
    Colchester United 40.23%
    Draw 21.26%
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 38.51%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.25% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 40.23%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
5-4
Notts County
Chilvers (10'), Fevrier (31'), Read (38', 74'), McGeehan (58')
Egbo (21'), Tovide (68'), McGeehan (72'), Goodman (75')
McGeehan (79')
Austin (21'), Langstaff (48', 90+2'), Jones (67')
McGoldrick (14'), Baldwin (37'), Cameron (54')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Colchester
3-3
Notts County
Szmodics (8'), Mandron (45'), Pell (67' pen.)
Pell (90')
Stead (16'), Jones (19'), Dennis (32')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Notts County
0-0
Colchester
Jones (24'), Duffy (45'), Vaughan (74'), Hewitt (80')
Pell (64'), Jackson (86')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Notts County
Wright (9')
Forte (51'), Ameobi (69'), Duffy (76')
Virtue-Thick (52'), Stead (82'), Hewitt (86')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Colchester
Ameobi (68' pen.), Yates (90')
Tootle (10'), Duffy (64'), Ameobi (74'), Grant (77')
Odelusi (89')
Mandron (67'), Jackson (74'), Kent (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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