League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
We said: Newport County 1-1 Bradford City
Bradford City know they need to keep winning to stay in a top-three position, but they are going up against a side in equally good form who are striving to close the gap for a playoff spot, and we expect to see a spirited stalemate this weekend.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.14% . A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.41% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.37%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (7.77%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Newport County Draw Bradford City 24.41% ( 0.11) 25.44% ( -0.01) 50.14% ( -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.12)
47.08% ( 0.1) 52.92% ( -0.1)
25.47% ( 0.09) 74.53% ( -0.09)
63.3% ( 0.15) 36.69% ( -0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.51% ( 0.15) 73.48% ( -0.15)
78.87% ( -0) 21.12%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.03% ( -0) 53.96% ( -0)
Newport County 24.41%
Bradford City 50.14%
Draw 25.44%
Newport County Draw Bradford City 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.41% 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.44% 0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 50.14%
How you voted: Newport vs Bradford
Newport County
Draw
Bradford City
6
rhs 2.0
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