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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
45.64% ( 1.48) | 24.34% ( -0.07) | 30.02% ( -1.4) |
Both teams to score 57.93% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.5% ( -0.31) | 44.5% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.13% ( -0.3) | 66.87% ( 0.31) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.37% ( 0.51) | 19.64% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.4% ( 0.81) | 51.6% ( -0.81) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -1.07) | 27.91% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% ( -1.39) | 63.53% ( 1.39) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |