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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Grimsby Town

Forest Green
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

McAllister (37' pen., 44')
Bernard (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilson (65', 80')
Rose (5'), Holohan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Grimsby Town

Both Forest Green and Grimsby enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood following their midweek FA Cup victories, and the two teams will view this fixture as a winnable game in their quest to steer themselves away from danger in League Two. Grimsby's dismal away record bodes well for Forest Green, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining contest at the New Lawn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
45.64% (1.477 1.48) 24.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 30.02% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 57.93% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-0.314 -0.31)44.5% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-0.304 -0.3)66.87% (0.309 0.31)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (0.508 0.51)19.64% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.815 0.81)51.6% (-0.811 -0.81)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-1.069 -1.07)27.91% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-1.388 -1.39)63.53% (1.394 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 45.64%
    Grimsby Town 30.02%
    Draw 24.33%
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.321 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Grimsby Town

Forest Green Rovers
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Grimsby Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Grimsby Town
1-2
Forest Green
Hanson (38')
Matete (30')
Matt (19' pen.), Adams (66')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Young (24')
Winchester (48'), Godwin-Malife (90+4')

Taylor (90+2'), Green (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
2-2
Forest Green
Whitehouse (19'), Driscoll-Glennon (53')
Clifton (35'), Hendrie (91')
Bailey (32'), Aitchison (50')
Kitching (44'), Winchester (55')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Mondal (75')
Winchester (31')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Forest Green
3-0
Grimsby Town
Doidge (29', 45'), Brown (50')

Ohman (49'), Rose (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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