Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.