Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.